From west to east;

Disturbance Thirteen is now centred 100 miles due east of Savannah, Ga. Moving west-nor’west at 16 knots. Although this has been upgraded to Tropical Depression Four by the National Hurricane Centre, upper level shear it taking chunks out of the convection column, which is good fortune for the people of the eastern seaboard. At landfall around Savannah tonight, this is likely to bring heavy rain in places, gusty squalls along the coast and some impressive thunder and lightning, but a far cry from the excesses of a full blown tropical storm.

Disturbance Twelve is in mid-Atlantic now, moving a touch north of west at 18 knots. This is expected to track into the Caribbean on Wednesday night, then press on to the west, passing well south of the Dominican Republic on a westerly heading. Wind shear is currently making the area unfavourable for development, which is more good news

Disturbance Fourteen has piped up a few hours west of the Cape Verde Islands , westbound at 12 knots. This is also experiencing upper level wind shear, which makes a good day for all. Environmental conditions may become more favourable as this approaches the Caribbean, but it is early days.

Stand by for limited unpleasantness in Georgia, otherwise stand easy.

Image Tatum Reed