From west to east;
Disturbance Thirty Eight is moving slowly north-east from the north coast of the Yucatan peninsula across the Gulf of Mexico, capped by strong upper level shear. Conditions for development have deteriorated along the coast giving this a clear run towards the Florida Panhandle overnight on Wednesday. Some heavy rainfall is likely for the Florida Panhandle and southern Georgia as this tracks east and there remains a possibility of development once the system is offshore Georgia and South Carolina by the end of the week.
Category Three Hurricane LARRY is still making miserable days at sea, now 850 miles southeast of Bermuda headed north-west at 10 knots. This is at hurricane severity index rating 27 (14 for size and 13 for intensity) with winds gusting 135 knots and a windfield of 200 miles. LARRY is expected to gradually turn to the north over the next few days, making its closest, fairly distant approach to Bermuda on Thursday. After passing by Bermuda, LARRY should accelerate to the northeast but there remains a chance of a swipe passing near southeast Newfoundland as a strong tropical storm.
Disturbance Forty One is two days west of the Cape Verde Islands moving west at 13 knots. This is starting to show atmospheric rotation but drawing a slug of Saharan air which has crept into the convergence zone. Environmental conditions are expected to improve as this moves west towards the Caribbean over the coming weekend.
Stand by for continued muck and filth at sea from LARRY otherwise stand easy.