Let’s hear it for upper level wind shear.
From west to east:
Disturbance Fifty Two crossed central America and is now in the eastern Pacific, off our radar.
Disturbance Fifty Three has reached offshore Georgia and is slowly drifting north. An approaching cold front and upper level shear will limit development for the time being. Exceptionally higher than normal sea surface temperatures, which was a contributory factor in the longevity of SAM and may indicate an extended season for the Atlantic, may produce something as this heads seaward over the coming days.
Disturbance Fifty Four is just short of three days east of the Leeward Islands moving west at 14 knots producing disorganised shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper level shear is keeping a lid on development and expected to consider to do so as it enters the Caribbean on Sunday.
Stand easy.
Image Paul Norman