Disturbance Three has drifted west of its expected pass through the Yucatan channel and is close to the coast of Belize, drifting slowly north-west and now looks likely to run ashore over the southern part of the Yucatan peninsula. This is then expected to merge with an eastbound Pacific tropical depression which has jumped the fence and jointly produce areas of heavy rainfall for Central America, Belize and southern Mexico over the next few days but is unlikely to develop significantly.

Stand easy.