The cull of active disturbances we reported on yesterday continues with Disturbance Fourteen having wimped out altogether as is passed over south-western Cuba overnight.

Disturbance Fifteen is currently 850 miles north-east of the mouth of the Amazon headed a midges’ north of west at 14 knots. This has opened out into a broad trough which has a pattern of thunderstorms in its outer reaches, but is not organised and unlikely to develop.

Despite the extended lull due to a larger than usual spread of Saharan air, widespread sand is impeding development but waves are preparing to leave the African coast and nobody is yet reviewing the season’s active forecast.

Stand easy.